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Betting Against the Crowd A Complex Systems Approach 1st Edition by Yair Neuman ISBN 303152019X 9783031520198

Name: Betting Against the Crowd A Complex Systems Approach 1st Edition by Yair Neuman ISBN 303152019X 9783031520198
SKU: EB-55645650
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Betting Against the Crowd: A Complex Systems Approach 1st Edition Yair Neuman Digital Instant Download

Author(s): Yair Neuman

ISBN(s): 9783031520181, 3031520181

Edition: 1

File Details: PDF, 3.07 MB

Year: 2024

Language: English

SKU: EB-55645650 Categories: Politics & Philosophy - Social Sciences, Society Tag: Yair Neuman

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Betting Against the Crowd A Complex Systems Approach 1st Edition by Yair Neuman – Ebook PDF Instant Download/Delivery: 303152019X, 978-3031520198
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ISBN 10: 303152019X
ISBN 13: 978-3031520198
Author: Yair Neuman

Crowds are misleading, both in their simplicity and in their complexity. On the one hand, they behave according to expected trends; on the other, they present sudden shifts and frantic, unexpected behavior. Therefore, “betting against the crowd,” whether in politics, sports, or finance, requires a deep understanding of the crowd’s dynamics. In this book, Prof. Neuman addresses this challenge by delving into the complexity of crowds. The book involves foundational issues and novel ideas, such as why crowds behave unexpectedly, why betting against the crowd is possible only in short time frames, why is it important to be attentive to suspicious signs that are indicative of the crowd’s behavior, and why the long tail of fatalities in armed conflicts leaves us surprised by blitz attacks of violent mobs. The book combines scientific knowledge, experiments, and accessible, often humorous, exposition. It can be read by anyone with a basic science education who seeks to understand crowds and how one can act within and against them.

Betting Against the Crowd A Complex Systems Approach 1st Table of contents:

Part I. Foundations of Crowd’s Dynamics

1. Navigating the Collective: Insights into Crowd Behavior and Strategies for the Individual

2. Signs of Collective Dynamics: Insights from the Stock Market Collapse

3. Entropy, Constraints, and Action: Tools for Short-Term Prediction

4. Information Thresholds: Navigating Predictive Boundaries

5. Short-Term Fluctuations Versus Long-Range Trends: Unearthing Investment Opportunities

Part II. Case Studies: Political Nationalism, Football, Financial Markets and Armed Conflicts

6. Non-linearity in the Emergence of Political Nationalism: A Lesson from Hungary

7. Fixed Beliefs and Football Fandom: Unraveling the Dynamics of Collective Optimism

8. Contrarian Strategies: Capitalizing on the Limits of Exponential Growth in Financial Markets

9. Unraveling the Complexities of Chronic Armed Conflicts: Patterns, Predictability, and Uncertainties

10. Mentsh Trakht un Got Lakht: Final Lessons in Individuality and Collective Dynamics

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