Generalized Additive Models: An Introduction With R 2nd Edition BY Simon N. Wood – Ebook PDF Instant Download/Delivery: 1498728375, 978-1498728379
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ISBN 10: 1498728375
ISBN 13: 978-1498728379
Author: Simon N. Wood
Generalized Additive Models: An Introduction With R 2nd Table of contents:
1. Linear Models
1.1 A Simple Linear Model
- Simple least squares estimation
1.1.1 Sampling properties of β
1.1.2 So how old is the universe?
1.1.3 Adding a distributional assumption - Testing hypotheses about β
- Confidence intervals
1.2 Linear Models in General
1.3 The Theory of Linear Models
- Least squares estimation of β
- The distribution of β
- F-ratio results I
- F-ratio results II
- The influence matrix
- The residuals ϵepsilonϵ and fitted values μmuμ
- Results in terms of X
- The Gauss Markov Theorem: What’s special about least squares?
1.4 The Geometry of Linear Modelling
- Least squares
- Fitting by orthogonal decompositions
- Comparison of nested models
1.5 Practical Linear Modelling
- Model fitting and model checking
- Model summary
- Model selection
- Another model selection example (A follow-up)
- Confidence intervals
- Prediction
- Co-linearity, confounding, and causation
1.6 Practical Modelling with Factors
- Identifiability
- Multiple factors
- ‘Interactions’ of factors
- Using factor variables in R
1.7 General Linear Model Specification in R
1.8 Further Linear Modelling Theory
- Constraints I: General linear constraints
- Constraints II: ‘Contrasts’ and factor variables
- Likelihood
- Non-independent data with variable variance
- Simple AR correlation models
- AIC and Mallows’ statistic
- The wrong model
- Non-linear least squares
- Further reading
1.9 Exercises
2. Linear Mixed Models
2.1 Mixed Models for Balanced Data
- A motivating example
- The wrong approach: A fixed effects linear model
- The right approach: A mixed effects model
2.1.2 General principles
2.1.3 A single random factor
2.1.4 A model with two factors
2.1.5 Discussion
2.2 Maximum Likelihood Estimation
- Numerical likelihood maximization
2.3 Linear Mixed Models in General
2.4 Linear Mixed Model Maximum Likelihood Estimation
- The distribution of b∣y,βb | y, betab∣y,β given θthetaθ
- The distribution of βbetaβ given θthetaθ
- The distribution of θthetaθ
- Maximizing the profile likelihood
- REML
- Effective degrees of freedom
- The EM algorithm
- Model selection
2.5 Linear Mixed Models in R
- Package nlme
- Tree growth: An example using lme
- Several levels of nesting
- Package lme4
- Package mgcv
2.6 Exercises
3. Generalized Linear Models (GLMs)
3.1 GLM Theory
- The exponential family of distributions
- Fitting generalized linear models
- Large sample distribution of βbetaβ
- Comparing models
- Deviance
- Model comparison with unknown ϕphiϕ
- AIC
- Estimating ϕphiϕ, Pearson’s statistic, and Fletcher’s estimator
- Canonical link functions
- Residuals: Pearson residuals, Deviance residuals
- Quasi-likelihood
- Tweedie and negative binomial distributions
- The Cox proportional hazards model for survival data: Cumulative hazard and survival functions
3.2 Geometry of GLMs
- The geometry of IRLS
- Geometry and IRLS convergence
3.3 GLMs with R
- Binomial models and heart disease
- A Poisson regression epidemic model
- Cox proportional hazards modelling of survival data
- Log-linear models for categorical data
- Sole eggs in the Bristol Channel
3.4 Generalized Linear Mixed Models
- Penalized IRLS
- The PQL method
- Distributional results
3.5 GLMMs with R
- glmmPQL
- gam
- glmer
3.6 Exercises
4. Introducing GAMs
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Univariate Smoothing
- Representing a function with basis expansions
- A very simple basis: Polynomials
- The problem with polynomials
- The piecewise linear basis
- Using the piecewise linear basis
- Controlling smoothness by penalizing wiggliness
- Choosing the smoothing parameter, A, by cross-validation
- The Bayesian/mixed model alternative
4.3 Additive Models
- Penalized piecewise regression representation of an additive model
- Fitting additive models by penalized least squares
4.4 Generalized Additive Models
4.5 Summary
4.6 Introducing Package mgcv
- Finer control of gam
- Smooths of several variables
- Parametric model terms
- The mgcv help pages
4.7 Exercises
5. Smoothers
5.1 Smoothing Splines
- Natural cubic splines are smoothest interpolators
- Cubic smoothing splines
5.2 Penalized Regression Splines
5.3 Some One-Dimensional Smoothers
- Cubic regression splines
- A cyclic cubic regression spline
- P-splines
- P-splines with derivative-based penalties
- Adaptive smoothing
- SCOP-splines
5.4 Some Useful Smoother Theory
- Identifiability constraints
- ‘Natural’ parameterization, effective degrees of freedom, and smoothing bias
- Null space penalties
5.5 Isotropic Smoothing
- Thin plate regression splines
- Thin plate splines
- Properties of thin plate regression splines
- Knot-based approximation
- Duchon splines
- Splines on the sphere
- Soap film smoothing over finite domains
5.6 Tensor Product Smooth Interactions
- Tensor product bases
- Tensor product penalties
- ANOVA decompositions of smooths
- Numerical identifiability constraints for nested terms
- Tensor product smooths under shape constraints
- An alternative tensor product construction: What is being penalized?
5.7 Isotropy versus Scale Invariance
5.8 Smooths, Random Fields, and Random Effects
- Gaussian Markov random fields
- Gaussian process regression smoothers
5.9 Choosing the Basis Dimension
5.10 Generalized Smoothing Splines
5.11 Exercises
6. GAM Theory
6.1 Setting up the Model
- Estimating βbetaβ given λlambdaλ
- Degrees of freedom and scale parameter estimation
- Stable least squares with negative weights
6.2 Smoothness Selection Criteria
- Known scale parameter: UBRE
- Unknown scale parameter: Cross-validation
- Leave-several-out cross-validation
- Problems with ordinary cross-validation
- Generalized cross-validation
- Double cross-validation
- Prediction error criteria for the generalized case
- Marginal likelihood and REML
- The problem with log |Sλlambdaλ|+
- Prediction error criteria vs marginal likelihood
- Unpenalized coefficient bias
6.3 Computing the Smoothing Parameter Estimates
6.4 The Generalized Fellner-Schall Method
- General regular likelihoods
6.5 Direct Gaussian Case and Performance Iteration (PQL)
- Newton optimization of the GCV score
- REML, log |Sλlambdaλ|+ and its derivatives
6.6 Direct Nested Iteration Methods
- Prediction error criteria
- Example: Cox proportional hazards model
6.7 Initial Smoothing Parameter Guesses
6.8 GAMM Methods
- GAMM inference with mixed model estimation
6.9 Bigger Data Methods
6.10 Posterior Distribution and Confidence Intervals
- Nychka’s coverage probability argument
- Interval limitations and simulations
- Whole function intervals
- Posterior simulation in general
6.11 AIC and Smoothing Parameter Uncertainty
- Smoothing parameter uncertainty
- A corrected AIC
6.12 Hypothesis Testing and p-values
- Approximate p-values for smooth terms
- Approximate p-values for random effect terms
- Testing a parametric term against a smooth alternative
- Approximate generalized likelihood ratio tests
6.13 Other Model Selection Approaches
6.14 Further GAM Theory
- The geometry of penalized regression
- Backfitting GAMs
6.15 Exercises
7. GAMs in Practice: mgcv
7.1 Specifying Smooths
- How smooth specification works
7.2 Brain Imaging Example
- Preliminary modelling
- Would an additive structure be better?
- Isotropic or tensor product smooths?
- Detecting symmetry (with by variables)
- Comparing two surfaces
- Prediction with
predict.gam
- Variances of non-linear functions of the fitted model
7.3 A Smooth ANOVA Model for Diabetic Retinopathy
7.4 Air Pollution in Chicago
- A single index model for pollution-related deaths
- A distributed lag model for pollution-related deaths
7.5 Mackerel Egg Survey Example
- Model development
- Model predictions
- Alternative spatial smooths and geographic regression
7.6 Spatial Smoothing of Portuguese Larks Data
7.7 Generalized Additive Mixed Models with R
- A space-time GAMM for sole eggs
- Soap film improvement of boundary behavior
- The temperature in Cairo
- Fully Bayesian stochastic simulation:
jagam
- Random wiggly curves
7.8 Primary Biliary Cirrhosis Survival Analysis
- Time dependent covariates
7.9 Location-Scale Modelling
- Extreme rainfall in Switzerland
7.10 Fuel Efficiency of Cars: Multivariate Additive Models
7.11 Functional Data Analysis
- Scalar on function regression: Prostate cancer screening
- A multinomial prostate screening model
- Function on scalar regression: Canadian weather
7.12 Other Packages
7.13 Exercises
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